Bear Market Myths And Facts You Must Be Aware Of

A Trader Over The Shoulders Podcast

A trader over the shoulders is all about professional insights and inspiring stories covering all aspects of trading. This podcast discusses the trader’s winning state of mind.

Join Alex and Miki Katz, a professional trader of 15 years, for a new episode each week.

 

Watch The Podcast – Bear Market Myths And Facts

In this episode, Alex, Ruben & Miki discuss bear markets myths and how one can navigate correctly in the current market conditions.

Ins and Outs of Trading with a Prop Firm

A Trader Over The Shoulders Podcast

A trader over the shoulders is all about professional insights and inspiring stories covering all aspects of trading. This podcast discusses the trader’s winning state of mind.

Join Alex and Miki Katz, a professional trader of 15 years, for a new episode each week.

 

Watch The Podcast – Ins and Outs of Trading with a Prop Firm

In this episode, Saul and Alex talk about the pros and cons of being a prop firm trader, in comparison to a retail trader Listen to what Saul, an expert forex trader says about his path as a retail trader and what made him move to the prop industry.

 

 

👉For more episodes, check out our channel on Spotify

👉If you want to prepare yourself in the best possible way for intraday trading, check out our pre market category

How To Change Your Trading Habits

A habit is a routine behavior that is repeated regularly. According to James Clear’s book, The Atomic Habits, there is a popular saying that tiny changes can make a big difference. Hence, as a trader, trading habits you pick up as you advance in your journey, or ones you learn consciously, can either make or break you. We are often consumed with the idea that we need to take massive action to see a massive change. But in reality, this isn’t always the case. One can easily overestimate the power of a defining moment and underestimate the value of making small changes towards it.

Improving yourself by 1% daily might not be notable. But, it will give a significant result as time passes. Do not underestimate the power of compounding! You can also relate this to trading. It would help if you had the right trading habit to make real progress as a trader.

This article will teach you how to develop a good trading habit. Generally, this article is based on the book The Atomic Habits by James Clear. So, whether you have read the book or not, you can be sure to pick up some helpful habit tips. Let’s explore more.

Why do we need to cultivate good trading habits?

One thing to note about behavior changes is that they can occur on three levels; outcome, process, and identity. An outcome-based habit is concerned with changing your result. Process-based habit is concerned with changing your systems and habits. In comparison, an identity-based habit is concerned with changing your beliefs.

trading habits on 3 levels

Our habits can shape our identity and vice versa. Hence, it is important to develop a good habit. However, it is much easier to repeat bad habits but hard to form good ones. This is because people use the wrong approach to change bad habits.

Becoming a better version of yourself requires you to expand your identity, which has several benefits continuously. The most effective way to change your habit is to focus on whom you wish to become and not on what you want to achieve.

Below are some of the benefits of having a good habit.

Habits can replace motivation

Everyone has days when they don’t feel like working or exercising. On such days, motivation alone wouldn’t be enough. On such days, a person who has developed a good habit will find themself doing it anyway without thinking about it. The reason is that building a habit is like second nature. Living off a good habit rather than motivation will greatly benefit you for the rest of your life.

Habits form the foundation for life

Another important reason for developing a good habit is that it forms the foundation of life. Your habits end up becoming you, whether it is a good or a bad habit. What this means is that your habits set the tone for which your entire life will follow. This isn’t to say that we are only our habits; rather, they play a vital role in making sense of who we are.

For example, if you develop a habit of eating healthy and exercising regularly, you will have a healthier lifestyle. Hence, since whatever habit we build influences our life, it is important to develop a good one.

Good habits are compounding

The effects habits have on our lives are compounding. While you may do something once or twice without much effect, making it a habit will have a sizable impact in time. For example, if you make it a habit to practice something every day, you will see a significant difference in results between the first day you start and months later. As long as you do it regularly, anything you do will have a compounding effect. Small changes daily may go unnoticed, but their result is quite considerable in the long run.

Habits help accomplish long-term goals

Having goals you want to achieve helps you stay focused. But sometimes, achieving your goals can seem impossible, especially long-term goals. Achieving such goals takes time, but this often discourages most people, especially when they think about the massive task ahead.

While the effort to do something big may seem daunting, splitting it up into daily or regular tasks will help you accomplish it easily. So, getting yourself into the habit of making an effort to do those small daily tasks will make what seems impossible more manageable.

Good trading habits help you better manage time

If you are the type who often procrastinates on tasks and pushes them off, developing a good habit can help you better manage your time. If you have a good habit, what normally takes you an hour to complete, could take 30 minutes or less, depending on the nature of the task.

When you have developed a good habit, it no longer becomes something you can avoid because it has become a part of you. So, you don’t need to convince yourself to do it because it has become a part of your routine.

Problems you might face developing good trading habits

As you can tell by now, developing a good habit has several benefits. Many people don’t often see positive results when trying to develop a habit because of how they are trying to do it. And according to research, developing a habit takes time and can be difficult.

Below we look at some common mistakes/problems with developing a good habit.

Not starting small

Often, people are inspired to develop a good habit based on a set goal or desire to achieve something. While this is a great motivation, many people often want to start with big steps. Hence, they get so overwhelmed that it deters their journey to develop a good habit.

The trick to developing a good habit is to go at a steady pace. In other words, if one can afford to make small changes regularly, it is better in the long run than making big changes without consistency. So, if you truly want to develop that habit, ask yourself the smallest steps you can take to help you get the habit going every time.

Not relating your habit to your unique why

When developing a habit, there is more to it than simply knowing what you want to develop. You have to know the generic reason why you want it. Many people often mistake not recognizing their unique “why” they are developing habits.

Recognizing a personal reason you want to develop a habit helps you focus better, overcome obstacles, or be more consistent. For example, you may want to develop the habit of reading more because it enlightens you. But it would be more powerful and motivating if you consider a specific reason, like reading more because you want to learn how to trade better.

Having the wrong goal mindset

It is great to have goals when trying to develop good trading habits, but it is essential not to be too goal-oriented. Goals are only a momentary change. For example, if you set a goal to clean your room and then summon the energy to clean it but still maintain the sloppy tidiness habit, you will end up with a messy room in no time.

Setting goals creates an “either-or” conflict: you either achieve the goal or you fail. Many people think they need to change their results, but results are not the problem. What needs to be changed is the system that caused the problem in the first place.

Not tracking progress

As we said earlier, setting goals is great when developing a habit because they help you keep track of your progress. Because of the considerable time, patience, energy, persistence, and other resources that go into developing a good habit, keeping track of your progress can help motivate you.

No one wants to put effort into something with no result. Tracking your habit’s progress can help you tweak it to make it easier, enjoyable, and exciting to maintain.

When you don’t have an accountability system in place

Another mistake many people make when developing a habit is not having an accountability system. The same way students submit their homework to get graded, you always need to have a system that helps you stay on track. An accountability system enables you to keep on track and be committed to putting more effort into the habit development process.

You can increase accountability in several ways, such as getting a partner involved, joining a support group, establishing rewards or setting up a consequence, and so on. Without an accountability system, it becomes easy to be swayed off your habit path and give in to temptation and procrastination.

Environment impact

Many people fail to see this, but the environment in which you try to develop a habit can significantly impact your progress. Even if you are determined, if the environment is not favorable, there is a high chance of multiple relapses. For example, if you are trying to read more but are surrounded by distractions such as TV, video games, social media apps, and so on, chances are you would soon drop the book and engage in another activity.

For this reason, it helps to consider your environment and find a way to eliminate/manage any external factor that would deter you from developing your habits.

When you are not in it for the long-term progress

Unfortunately, many people make the mistake of giving up on a habit before it is fully developed. The reason is that they go full force at it for the first few weeks, then give up when they don’t get the expected results. They fail to realize that developing a habit is a long-term process you can’t attain with short-term thinking. But when you reframe your mindset to be in it for the long haul, you will be less prone to make excuses.

Developing habits with a long-term mindset will also make you more resilient to face challenges and be more problem-oriented and solution-oriented.

Good trading habits every successful trader needs

Trading habits are those actions you do consistently whenever you’re trading. As a trader, you must consciously imbibe good trading habits to succeed. No trader is born a good trader.

So, if you want to become a successful trader, here are key habits that can help you achieve your goals and keep you afloat in the business:

Discipline

Discipline is a habit that can help you in any industry, including trading. As a trader, be it long-term or short-term, you need to have a plan that you must stick to unless you have a good reason not to. You can use several trading strategies, but jumping from one to another is not a way to go.

Risk management

As a trader, you need to know how to manage risk better. Trading is risky, and there is a high chance of losing a huge percentage of your capital if you don’t know how to manage risk. A good trader does not get obsessed with returns. Instead, they focus on the aspect of the market they can control.

Realistic expectation

Being optimistic is a trading habit that can help you make a lot of successful trades. While being an optimistic trader, you also need to keep your expectations grounded and realistic. There are days the market will favor you, and it could also go the other way sometimes.

Having the right expectation can help you control your emotions and make the right decision as a trader. Because when you are not prepared for a loss, and you lose money, it can make you emotionally take trades to recover lost funds, which can further increase the loss.

Patience and persistence

Every trader needs to be patient and persist as they will make a lot of bad and good trades. Hence, if you want to be a good trader, you need to be willing to learn from your mistakes continuously. Smart traders usually grasp when they are wrong and are pragmatic enough to accept and move on.

How do you implement “Atomic Habits” rules to build good trading habits?

The book Atomic Habits contains helpful information you can apply to develop good trading habits. The process of developing a habit, be it trading or other things in life, can be grouped into four stages: cue, craving, response, and reward. This means that a cue triggers a craving that motivates a response and provides a reward.

So, if you would like to develop a good trading habit, then the following steps explain how you can go about it.

Step 1: Make it obvious

One of the greatest challenges people face with changing or developing a habit is maintaining awareness of what they are doing. This explains why sometimes a bad habit can sneak up on us. The process of behavioral change always begins with awareness. As a trader, the more aware you are of your decisions, the better you’d become at getting results.

You can leverage the Pointing-and-Calling system to make a trading decision more obvious. The Pointing-and-Calling system is so effective because it raises awareness from an unconscious habit to a more conscious level.

It is also worth noting that behavioral automation is not entirely wrong. Think about it for a second; when you do something repeatedly, the more automatic the behavior will become. Hence, the less likely you will be to think about it. And when things become automatic, we tend to overlook details because we assume the next time will be like the last time. It becomes a part of us that we stop to question whether it is right or not.

Many of our failures are largely attributed to a lack of self-awareness. That is why it makes much sense to use the Pointing-and-Calling system because it is more like a scorecard but for behavior.

Step 2: Make it attractive

The next step to developing a good trading habit is to make it attractive. The truth is that the more attractive a behavioral change is, the more likely it is to become a habit. Developing a good habit has a lot to do with the dopamine level in the brain. Dopamine is a neuromodulatory molecule in the brain responsible for the sense of pleasure.

For example, as a trader, if, after reading more about how to trade, you’re able to come up with a strategy that helps you make a profit, then you will be more motivated to read more. The reason for this is the anticipation of a reward, not the fulfillment, that gets one to take action. Hence, the greater the anticipation, the greater the dopamine spike in the brain.

A smart way of making your trading habits more attractive is temptation bundling. This strategy involves pairing an action you want to do with an action you need to do.

Step 3: Make it easy

Developing a good trading habit is not easy. However, if there were a way to make it easy, then things would be more appealing. When developing a habit, it gets easier each time you repeat it.

The most effective way to develop a habit is through practice, not planning. So, it would help if you were more focused on taking actions that are not in motion. Based on the habit you are trying to build, assess areas you are not building on and work out a rate at which you can perform them.

When developing a habit, it is not about how long it takes for the habit to become automatic. Instead, what matters is that you take the right actions to help you make progress. Whether the action is fully automatic or not is less important. To build the habit, you need to practice it to become easier. Hence, the more time you spend performing a habit is not as important as the times you perform it.

Think of it this way: It is better to spend an hour developing a habit for ten days than to spend 10 hours a day developing a habit for ten days.

Step 4: Make it satisfying

Finally, the more satisfied you are at developing trading habits, the better your chances of it sticking with you for a very long time. Ideally, an individual will choose a path that rewards an action in a few weeks over a path that rewards an action in months or years. This is because the human brain prioritizes immediate rewards over delayed ones. This proves the Cardinal Rule of Behavior Changes that states that what is immediately rewarded is repeated, and what is immediately punished is avoided.

So, to get a habit that sticks, one has to feel immediately successful, even if it is in a small way. As a trader, it helps to make small moves you can measure.

Intrinsic rewards like better mood, reduced stress, more energy, and so on make you less concerned with chasing a secondary reward. If you are not enjoying any part of a habit you are trying to develop, then the odds are against you that the habit will last. And the more a habit becomes a part of you, the less likely you will need to source outside encouragement or motivation to follow through.

Conclusion

Developing a good habit takes time, and the only way to claim the reward is if you are patient. According to Atomic Habits by James Clear, you will learn that making an action obvious, attractive and easy increases the possibility that a behavior will be performed at a particular time, and the four-step of making an action satisfying increases the odds of the behavior being repeated next time.

Little things like incentives can help you start building a good habit, but your identity is what helps you sustain a good habit.

Flag Pattern Strategy – The Most Accurate Momentum Strategy For Day Traders

The Flag Pattern Trading Strategy

The Flag is probably the most famous and used trading pattern till this day, mainly because of its simplicity and the nemours time you can identify it on the chart.

The Flag pattern is mainly known as a continuation pattern for trading momentum assets. However, it is important to understand that not all Flags are equal, and before you trade that pattern, you might want to get familiar with its important nuances of it.

This is 1 out of the 3 most accurate trading strategies, so make sure you watch the others as well.

 

Find The Right Asset

Only trade a flag on momentum as. It doesn’t matter if you trade stocks, futures or FX, in the end, a flag is a momentum-continuation pattern, and it means that if you currently don’t recognize momentum in the asset, it most likely will not work.

Be Aware Of Manipulation 

The bull/bear flag pattern is a continuation of a trend. Therefore, when you’re looking for one, make sure you find it at the beginning/middle of the trend and not when the trend is too extended.
Many new traders are looking to trade flag patterns because of their simplicity, but since they are unaware of market makers’ manipulation, they fall into their trap.

False break trap

When you see a flag pattern formation at an extended trend, it should be your warning sign that market makers are trying to manipulate the price, making you believe it will continue higher so you will buy at the break of the pattern while they can sell you their shares at the top of the trend.

false break trap

Shake out trap

This trap is a bit more sophisticated because the flag pattern will be at the right place (the beginning or middle range of the trend) on the right asset. Then, market makers will try to “shake” you out of your position to take your liquidity (the shares that you bought/are about to buy).

So how does it work: Image you found a perfect bull flag pattern that you would like to buy as soon as it breakthroughs the consolidation of the flag, and your stop loss is below the consolidation. 

The market makers will wait for the flag to break through the consolidation for a few seconds and then sell/short aggressively of dropping down the price all the way to your(and other traders) stop loss. Then, while the price drops toward your stop loss, they will start buying (with a different trading account) all the sell orders of the traders who went Long (bought) because of the bull flag pattern.

When they’re done buying the needed shares, the price will push higher, break the flag pattern again, and most likely will continue the up trend.

So how can you react to this manipulation?

Before placing the buy order for the breakthrough of the flag, make sure you don’t see an unusual volume during the consolidation. An unusual volume will mostly indicate that something/someone is trying to create price manipulation that might be the “shake out” we just covered.

But what can you do if price breakthrough the flag you are now in, and you see that price is rapidly going to your stop loss.
If you realize that you’re in a shake-out (before shaken out), move your stop loss below 20 exponential moving average. That should give you enough room not to get your stop out.

If the market makers already took you out of your position, wait until the price holds the 20 exponential moving average, and go Long (buy) again above the first green candle.
If you do not feel confident, you can enter with 50% above the green candle and add 50% more when the price breaks the flag pattern again.

Shake out trap

 

Watch The Flag Pattern Strategy

In this video, Michael talks about one of his favorite momentum trading strategies, called the flag pattern.

You will learn how to find the right asset to trade on, the reasons you must have to enter the trade, and the checklist for exiting a trade.

 

 

Flag Pattern conclusion

The most important element when trading any kind of strategy is to understand it completely and know all the “tricks” so it could work to your advantage.
You can not expect to win consistently in the market if you are trading a pattern just because you read in a book that it’s a good pattern to trade.

To become good at anything you do in life, you must learn the small nuances.

So remember the pattern general rules such as strong movement to the up/downside (The stick), consolidation (flag) on low volume, a momentum asset to trade on, and all the traps and tricks the market makers will create to get your liquidity.

Merry Xmass. Happy New 2024 Year